Calamity
CriticalSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 72

Severe Weather near Kernersville

GuilfordUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the strongest of the 76 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 16 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued March 16 at 10:36AM EDT until March 16 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Raleigh NC

An estimated 820,848 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 4 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 72 out of 100, at 88 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityCritical
Calamity Score (ours)72 / 100
Our confidence88%
Coordinates36.1228, -79.9507
Nearest CityKernersville (11 km)
Population Exposed820.8K within 50 km
Impact Tiercatastrophic
Timestamp2026-03-16T14:36:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c432783605d6f5a8a95352cbb86b267d

Score Breakdown

95
intensity
85
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescMontgomery, NC; Moore, NC; Randolph, NC; Stanly, NC; Henry, VA; City of Martinsville, VA; Davidson, NC; Forsyth, NC; Guilford, NC
HeadlineTornado Warning issued March 16 at 10:36AM EDT until March 16 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Raleigh NC
Expires2026-03-16T11:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Raleigh NC
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c432783605d6f5a8a95352cbb86b267d3d417820.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0a675f92d1e63d6b8771263a67297480fa9d628f.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ac14cc0e39192e95eda0ba3b44563629f52619f0.001.1"]
Spc ReportTypewind
Spc SpeedUNK
Spc Location3 ESE Stuart
Spc CountyPatrick
Spc StateVA
Spc CommentsTree down along Big A School Road. Time estimated from radar. (RNK)
Iem TypeSummaryD
Iem City3 E Woodville
Iem CountyStokes
Iem StateNC

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 72/100, near Kernersville (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.